Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 0.003321 0.003483 0.003648 0.003830 0.004024 0.004225 0.004450
2025-06-15 0.002995 0.003231 0.003481 0.003768 0.004088 0.004435 0.004841
2025-06-22 0.002786 0.003062 0.003363 0.003717 0.004123 0.004578 0.005128
2025-06-29 0.002657 0.002965 0.003307 0.003719 0.004203 0.004760 0.005455
2025-07-06 0.002485 0.002805 0.003167 0.003609 0.004141 0.004764 0.005561
2025-07-13 0.002399 0.002738 0.003128 0.003612 0.004205 0.004916 0.005845
2025-07-20 0.002351 0.002711 0.003131 0.003663 0.004326 0.005136 0.006221
2025-07-27 0.002265 0.002635 0.003071 0.003630 0.004339 0.005220 0.006423
2025-08-03 0.002192 0.002570 0.003021 0.003607 0.004360 0.005312 0.006637
2025-08-10 0.002123 0.002508 0.002971 0.003580 0.004374 0.005393 0.006836
2025-08-17 0.002099 0.002499 0.002986 0.003635 0.004494 0.005615 0.007236
2025-08-24 0.002046 0.002452 0.002952 0.003624 0.004524 0.005718 0.007474
2025-08-31 0.001987 0.002397 0.002905 0.003596 0.004532 0.005790 0.007674
2025-09-07 0.001920 0.002328 0.002839 0.003539 0.004498 0.005804 0.007789
2025-09-14 0.001861 0.002268 0.002782 0.003492 0.004475 0.005830 0.007921
2025-09-21 0.001825 0.002238 0.002762 0.003494 0.004519 0.005952 0.008200
2025-09-28 0.001750 0.002154 0.002669 0.003393 0.004415 0.005856 0.008141
2025-10-05 0.001720 0.002127 0.002652 0.003396 0.004457 0.005972 0.008416
2025-10-12 0.001708 0.002125 0.002667 0.003443 0.004563 0.006186 0.008853
2025-10-19 0.001668 0.002084 0.002628 0.003413 0.004556 0.006230 0.009021
2025-10-26 0.001633 0.002049 0.002596 0.003391 0.004560 0.006291 0.009217
2025-11-02 0.001599 0.002014 0.002563 0.003367 0.004558 0.006342 0.009399
2025-11-09 0.001592 0.002017 0.002582 0.003417 0.004670 0.006573 0.009896